In the following lines we will introduce you to the sports betting management strategy developed by the team of Ultimate Sports Betting System. It is no secret that any betting system is successful when the winning bets was more than lose ones. But still it is gambling and no one is insured against wrong steps. For this reason, financial management is a major step in achieving long-term profits from sports betting. That is why we have developed a bankroll management model based on – Minimum Risk / Maximum Profit!
By carefully researching what is happening to our Bankroll in a series of over 15,000 bets, and with the help of a math robot, we have been able to build the most successful strategy for managing our betting budget.
Examining over 15,000 bets, we saw that our Win Rate varies in different proportions according to good, bad series and different types of odds, in the range of 50% to 80%. (Anyone who promises you over 80% long-term success is 99% misleading you). Of course, we also consider a wide selection of odds in which our tipsters find their Value Bets. In the most common cases, these are odds in the range between 1.36 and 1.95. In the table below you can see the ratio between our Win Rate to the corresponding odds:
Odds / Win Rate Table:
1.25 / 1.36 – 88%
1.36 / 1.44 – 83%
1.44 / 1.57 – 75%
1.57 / 1.70 – 68%
1.70 / 1.95 – 60%
1.95 / 2.25 – 50%
2.25 / 2.75 – 40%
For this reason, we assume that our average success rate for every 100 meetings scheduled is 65%.
(65 Wins / 35 Lost). If we assume that in 30 days our customers will receive between 150 and 900 forecasts according to the purchased subscriptions, then this is a great success rate, which will bring us dream profits. We also strive for greater security during a bad series of bets, which can quickly lead to bankruptcy if we use some “traditional” betting systems that 95% of players find on the Internet.
According to this Win Rate, our mathematical model has calculated the optimal profit we can expect from each bet, regardless of its odds, while minimizing the possibility of a rapid DropDown on our account. We have accepted that 2% of our current Bankroll is the amount we expect to win from each bet (Expected Win).
(Current Bankroll – this is the amount we have in our account at the beginning of each betting day.)
Of course, we will not only have winning bets. That is why it is very important that the Current Bankroll & Expected Win is updated daily according to the situation at the beginning of the day.
Based on our rich betting history, and the winning Win Rate percentage, the maximum Drop Down on our account during the various situations in our subscription plan is in the range of 30-35%.
EXAMPLE:
1000 € Bankroll x 2% expected win = 20 €
Odds / Primary Bet stakes:
1.80 Odds x 25 € = 45 € / 20 € clear win
1.44 Odds x 46 € = 66 € / 20 € clear win
IMPORTANT – in order to follow our strategy optimally, it is necessary to update the current Bankroll every day, and to determine the required 2% profit from each bet.
EXAMPLE:
Day 1 – 2000 € Bankroll / Expected win 40 €
Day 2 – 2340 € Bankroll / Expected win 47 €
Day 3 – 2100 € Bankroll / Expected win 42 €
etc.
Below we will show you an example of what your profit would be with Flat betting stakes during your subscription plan without updating your Current Bankroll daily:
Starting capital 1000 €
Average Odds 1.80
Expected win 20 €
200 bets x 65% Win Rate = 130 Wins
130 wins x 20 € Expected wins = 2600 €
70 loses x 25 € lost = 1750 €
850 € Clear Win
Not bad, but not so impressive …
In the following example we will show you a player who changes his Current Bankroll every 10 days (3 times within his one month subscription plan)
First 10 days
Starting capital 1000 €
Average Odds 1.80
Expected win 20 €
70 bets x 65% win rate = 46 Wins
46 wins x 20 € expected wins = 920 €
24 loses x 25 € loses = 600 €
320 € Clear Win
Second 10 days
Starting capital 1320 €
Average Odds 1.80
Expected win 27 €
70 bets x 65% win rate = 46 Wins
46 wins x 27 € expected wins = 1242 €
24 loses x 34 € loses = 816 €
426 € Clear Win
Last 10 days
Starting capital 1746 €
Average Odds 1.80
Expected win 35 €
70 bets x 65% win rate = 46 Wins
46 wins x 35 € expected wins = 1610 €
24 loses x 44 € loses = 1056 €
554 € Clear Win
1300 € Clear Win after 30 days!
Much better right? Yes!
As you can see, to get the best results by following the Ultimate Sports Betting System, you need to follow 2 simple rules !: